As you saw yesterday, I really despise the whole "popular vote" argument. It's a bullshit metric, and more to the point, it brings no relelvance to the nomination discussion since delegates determine the nominee.
However, I came across a great popular vote total estimator at an oustanding political blog called fivethirtyeight.com (538 is the total number of electors in the Electoral College). It is the only place that I have found the following 1) hard individual vote totals for all states that held primaries and caucuses with published vote totals (44 states, including Michigan and Florida); 2) estimates of the vote totals for the 4 caucuses (Iowa, Nevada, Washington and Maine) and 3) flexilbility to determine which votes to count.
So with that said, here is my belief of what the popular vote is right now. The scenario that I believe is most representative is 46 states that had contested votes + DC (that means no Florida and Michigan, and of course, South Dakota and Montana are tomorrow so no vote yet for them). I ignore ALL territories (Puerto Rico, Guam, Virgin Islands) and Dems Abroad because the territories have no vote in the general election this fall and Dems Abroad will be included in the vote of their home state.
In that scenario, Obama leads the popular vote +563,686.
Now, I realize that some people would have an issue with the exclusion of Florida and Michigan. I maintain that those primary do not accurately reflect the will of the voters. In Florida's case, it was an excercise in name recognition. In Michigan's case, it was a classic communist "election," meaning there was only one name on the ballot.
However, if I were to concede that Florida and Michigan count the numbers still favor Obama. Let's be clear, any suggestion that Obama get ZERO votes for Michigan is, in a word, bullshit. Stop with crap that he "Voluntarily took his name off the ballot" argument. So in this scenario, Obama gets "Uncommitted."
In this scenario, Obama leads +178,773.
So there you have it, any reasonable summation of the popular vote still moves in favor of Obama. Note to Hillary supporters: Hillary Clinton, Harold Ickes and Terry McAuliffe are not the final arbiters of the popular vote totals.
I will depend upon my brain, logic and critical thinking skills to define what is a reasonable reflection of the vote.
Only one more day for Barack, and we are one step closer to the ultimate goal.
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